Showing posts with label Current Mortgage Rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Current Mortgage Rates. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Top Five Reasons to Buy! Real Estate News Article



Time to Buy!!

It isn't a fire sale!!! Yet if a bit of red print can light a fire under all you who are pay too much in rent or feeling claustrophobic in a home meant for three with four kids and two adults, red print it will be.

With school starting in most parts of the country already and beginning in the Northeast after Labor Day, many would be buyers that have sat on the sidelines wondering "if now is the time to buy" may just sit it out to Spring 2015.

Yet, as I have noted with a recent post on home prices, there is really no reason for a buyer to fear the home that he/she buys will be worth less tomorrow that today due to a coming housing bubble burst.   Values are no where near they were when the housing bubble burst in 2008/2009. 

Though I have discussed all these points in prior blogs recently, Realtor.com posted this article from Real Estate News.  It summarize why YOU should buy today!!

(If you need to sell, these are also the reasons to sell!)

Read and then call a Realtor!! If in Hampton Roads, call me! You will be happy you did: 757 580-6546.

Top 5 Reasons to Buy a House Right Now

Top 5 Reasons to Buy a House Right Now photoBuying a house is a highly individual decision—and a local one—but current trends are creating a favorable situation for many would-be homeowners.
Interest rates are low, employment is rising, home prices—in most markets—are still well below their peaks, and rents are through the roof.
Every family and each individual has various factors affecting the ability and the decision to buy a home. If you live in a market where studio apartments are $2,400 per month—while nearby condos sell for $300,000—it might make sense to buy a house instead.
(Remember, a local REALTOR® always is your best resource in helping you assess market conditions.)

Five Compelling Reasons to Buy a House Right Now

1. Interest Rates Are Still Low
Mortgage interest rates are still low—for now.
A 30-year-fixed-rate loan now averages 4.16%, according to Freddie Mac, but many economists believe we will see 5% rates next year. As interest rates increase, so do your monthly payments.
A $300,000 house at 4.16% with 20% down would have a monthly payment of $1,168. With a 5% interest rate, that payment increases to $1,288.
2. There’s More Inventory
As more houses enter the for sale market, prices stabilize.
“Inventories are at their highest level in over a year, and price gains have slowed to much more welcoming levels,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of REALTORS®.
The upside is consumers now have more choices, if they are looking at existing homes.
New homes are another story: Yun says new construction needs to double its current production to meet market demand.
3. Home Prices Are Going Up
Home prices are rising.
The median price of an existing home was $223,300 in June, or 4.3% higher than June 2013. That’s the 28th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains, and economists expect that trend to continue. However, we are still at least 20% off the peak prices of 2006.
“Attempting to buy a home when the market is at its lowest point—or to sell at the peak—is tricky,” said Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist for realtor.com®.
He compares it to trying to time the stock market.
“You might get lucky one or two times, but overall, timing the market does not work,” Smoke added. “It all points to purchasing power, and that’s a reflection of price and interest rates, which will both be higher in the future.”
4. Rents Are Sky-High
If you live in a big city, then you know rent is astronomical. In San Francisco, many people are spending 42% of their monthly income to pay the rent. Nationwide, rents are rising at a 4% annual clip.
It’s not unusual to see adults rooming together in expensive cities like New York, San Francisco and Chicago, but everyone needs his or her own space at some point.
Buying a home would lock in your monthly payment and stabilize your finances with a fixed-rate mortgage. This is, of course, assuming you don’t live the San Francisco area, where the average price of a home is $1 million.
(If you’re renting and never thought you could afford to buy a house, try our Rent vs. Buy calculator to see what’s possible.)
5. Employment on the Rise
Perhaps nothing is as important to the financial stability you need to buy a home as steady employment. The U.S. economy is finally adding jobs—about 200,000 new jobs per month.
The next generation of home buyers—the Millennials—has been particularly affected by the nation’s job slump. Saddled with student loans and tight lending restrictions, many in this generation have been living with their parents to save money until the economy picks up.
If your employment prospects look good these days and the other four factors check out, then it may indeed be the right time for you to buy a home of your own.

Friday, December 13, 2013

Bryan Cerny's Housing Trends





Hard to find color in any of the trees now.  Rain and snow has pretty put an end to that!!!

Yet, regardless of the time of year, Real Estate is always moving and changing.   Click and get the latest update on the market!

                 Bryan Cerny's Housing Trends E-Newsletter


Don't be shocked by the slow down in sales and closings.  It is December!!   One must remember the "down years" had a reverse trend that 2013 is working against...slow in 1st half of year and rose in the second half from 2007-2012.  

Thus, rest easy....market still improving!  Can't wait for 2014!!!

Got to move?  2014 could be a great year to make it all happen!



Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Mortgage Matter...OCT 21 Update




Keeping you updated on the market! For the week of 
October 21, 2013

MARKET RECAP
Time to Exhale
It appears a disaster was averted: The debt ceiling was raised and the federal government won't default on its debt.
We can't say we were surprised at the outcome. We mentioned last week that we thought a default was unlikely. The money was always there to make interest payments and to pay off maturing debt. In addition, there are too many politically connected constituents – banks not the least of them – for politicians to allow a default.
We also noted that “shutdown” was a misnomer. Over 80% of the federal government was still up and running. Unfortunately, the portion furloughed impacted the mortgage market. Applications for government-sponsored loans dropped by more than 7% last week. Conventional activity was similarly limited due to delays in verifying income with the tax collectors. With everyone back to work, mortgage lending should ramp up and loans should be approved in a more timely manner going forward.
When the political imbroglio began a few weeks ago, we noted that we expected the rate on the conforming 30-year fixed-rate loan to hold within a 4.25%-to-4.50% range. That's been the case. This week, Bankrate.com's survey showed the rate on the 30-year loan averaged 4.42%, while Freddie Mac's survey showed it averaged 4.28%.
We expect rates to remains staid for the next week or so. Some of the government departments furloughed were responsible for producing economic data. Since the furlough, there's been a dearth of insight into the state of the economy. That will soon change over the next week, and we should begin receiving an influx of scheduled data in short order.
In the meantime, the Federal Reserve offered some insight into the state of the economy this past week. Not surprising, nothing has really changed: Economic growth remains sluggish. In the Fed's Beige Book, a report released every six weeks, worlds like “modest” and “moderate” peppered the text, as they have in previous releases for much of 2013.
Of course, the private data providers continued to function. On that front, FNC's Residential Price Index shows housing prices moved higher by 0.6% in August to post the 18 th month of consecutive gains.
We've been warning over the past month that the strong price gains we've seen over the past two years will soon abate. Looking ahead, we expect price data providers CoreLogic, Case-Shiller, and Zillow to start reporting slower month-over-month gains.
A point worth emphasizing is the hotter the market, the greater the likelihood of reduced price growth. Another point worth emphasizing – one we've emphasized previously – is that slowing price growth isn't bad. We want to get back to the way real estate has historically functioned in most markets – slow, steady, with low volatility.

Economic
Indicator
Release
Date and Time
Consensus
Estimate
Analysis
Existing Home Sales
(September)
Mon., Oct. 21,
10:00 am, ET
5.35 Million (Annualized)
Important. Increased inventory and stabilizing price increases will help maintain the long-term upward trend.
Mortgage Applications
Wed., Oct. 23,
7:00 am, ET
None
Important. With the federal government back to work, application activity will begin to trend higher.
FHFA Home Price Index
(August)
Wed., Oct. 23,
10:00 am, ET
0.5%
(Monthly Increase)
Important. The data will likely show signs of slowing price growth.
New Home Sales
(September)
Thurs., Oct. 24,
10:00 am, ET
427,000 (Annualized)
Important. Softer pricing is lifting new-home sales.

Another Reason to Embrace the Slowdown  
Whenever we buy an asset, our natural desire is for that asset's value to appreciate. The faster it appreciates, the better we like it.
There is something to be said for slow and steady, though. When prices appreciate at a slower pace, they, in turn, lead to a wider, more stable market. We say that because the faster an asset's value appreciates, the faster it reduces the pool of potential buyers. The market, in short, becomes less inclusive, and frequently more volatile.
In addition, double-digit annual price gains have significantly lowered affordability. The Wall Street Journal reports that h ousing affordability hit a four-year low in August. The strong price gains we saw during spring and early summer pushed more homes out of the reach of more people.
This latest data suggest we could see a temporary slowdown in new and existing home sales in the waning months of 2013. Slower sales growth and lower price-appreciation should help recalibrate the market with more realistic exceptions. This is a good thing. As we noted last week, a return to a normalized market is the goal, and the sooner we get there the better.



Monday, July 22, 2013

Mortgage Rates Take a Breather


Stop the Presses!!!!

   You have to read Jim Belote's latest Mortgage Matters(below).  

After a quick run up over the past months, interest rates leveled off last week and actually decreased a bit this week!!!!

Though not out of the woods yet, Jim matches up with my opinion that increases in mortgage applications(he sees) and buyers interest in homes(I see) along with good growth in 2013 in new home inventory means the Real Estate Market continue to improve.

No time to wait thought as one can't predict if rates will hold for very long!






Keeping you updated on the market! For the week of 
July 22, 2013

MARKET RECAP
Fed Chairman Settles Mortgage Markets
After sprinting a full percentage higher over the past two months, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has finally taken a breather. Last week, the bellwether loan was staid, holding near the prior week's rate. This week, the rate actually fell a few basis points.
Lending markets have finally settled down, and for this we can thank Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who assured credit-market participants the Fed is unlikely to taper QE3 in the near future. This means the Fed will continue to purchase long-term U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.
In short, mortgage rates have likely plateaued for the near future, which gives frantic buyers some breathing room.
The interesting lesson in the mortgage-rate surge is that it failed to materially impact the purchase market. Indeed, the four-week purchase-application trend held steady. What's more, the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association show purchase applications actually rose 1% last week.
Purchase applications are obviously related to home sales and building activity. On the latter, there's concern rising rates could translate into falling activity because of falling consumer demand. The latest data on housing starts, released Wednesday, raised a few eyebrows, and a few concerns.
Housing starts were down significantly, dropping 9.9% to 836,000 units on an annualized basis in June. After the news was released, we ran across a number of comments forecasting the end of the housing recovery. Upon closer inspection, though, it appears housing's imminent demise was highly exaggerated.
We say that because the drop in starts was lead by the smaller and more volatile multifamily component, which declined 26.2% in June after rising 28.2% in May. In contrast, the larger and more stable single-family component slipped a modest 0.8% for the month after rising 0.5% in May.
It's informative to consider the longer-term starts trend; by this measure, the residential construction industry looks quite healthy. Over the first   half of 2013, multifamily starts are up nearly 34% from the same year-ago period, while single family starts are up 20%. These are meaningful increases in activity and tell us we've come a long way in a short time.
Moreover, there is plenty of room left to run. Starts remain low when viewed from a historical perspective. From 1959 through 2000, roughly 1.5 million housing units were started annually. (And keep in, the population was meaningful smaller back then.)
So, yes, we've come a long way on residential construction, but we still have long way to go. This suggests that housing will remain healthy and will remain a key economic driver for at least the next couple years.
And even if mortgages continue to climb, we think that's unlikely to change.

Economic
Indicator
Release
Date and Time
Consensus
Estimate
Analysis
Existing Home Sales
(June)
Mon., July 22,
10:00 am, ET
5.25 Million (Annualized)
Important. More supply coming to market will lead to higher sales volume in coming months.
FHFA House Price Index
(May)
Tues., July 23,
9:00 am, ET
0.5%
(Increase)
Moderately Important. Home prices will continue to post gains across most local markets.
Mortgage Applications
Wed., July 24,
7:00 am, ET
None
Important. Purchase activity should show noticeable improvement thanks to stabilizing rates.
Durable Goods Orders
(June)
Thurs., July 25,
8:30 am, ET
1.0%
(Increase)
Moderately Important. Rising orders are reflective of rising consumer confidence.

Don't Look Back, Look Ahead
Anchoring can be a difficult psychological trait to overcome. By that, we mean the inclination to believe that the past will either return or be will maintained in the future.
Anchoring occurs frequently in the investment world. Investors buy a stock, see it's share price cut in halve, and yet despite poor prospects, they'll continue to hold, believing that it's inevitable their purchase price will again prevail.
We see the same phenomenon in the mortgage market. Many potential borrowers believe it's inevitable that mortgage rates will again hit multi-decade lows of a few months ago. Tomorrow will somehow present yesterday's opportunities.
This isn't to say yesterday's prices can't return, but yesterday isn't today: the outlook and the variables influencing today's market are decidedly different. Today, we are looking at stronger economic growth and stronger residential construction across most of the United States. Neither variable bodes well for lower lending rates.
The point we want to emphasis is to keep focused on the future, and the variables – Federal Reserve tapering, job growth, rising consumer spending, higher housing demand and construction – that will prevail in the future. With the future in mind, it's becoming increasingly difficult to make a case for a lower-rate lending environment.


Monday, July 1, 2013

More Buyers Buying!! Now is not the time to wait


In reviewing multiple sites, I have found that Jim's Mortgage Matters really does a good job of summarizing trends.

Note the quick analysis on refinances being down with the new rates(up a point-1% in past 30 days) while purchases are up 2%.
Purchase applications have seen a double digit increase over the past year(16%).

As Jim notes, no one can predict where mortgages will go!!!
Yet, Fed action seems to indicate they will continue to rise...but who knows!  Home prices continue to strengthen also.

So are you willing to risk the chance of the double whammy of higher rates and higher prices???   Again, no guarantee that you will face this situation but the probability is very real.






Keeping you updated on the market! For the week of 
July 1, 2013

MARKET RECAP
The Power of Expectation
Mortgage rates continue to be the lead story in the financial press, and for good reason – rates are up a full-percentage point over the past month and are now at July 2011 levels.
It's understandable that the spike in mortgage rates would slow refinance activity. Indeed ,that's been the case: Refinances have dropped considerably over the past month, and the latest weekly data show yet another drop, with activity falling 5%. Refinances are now at a two-year low, and their percentage of overall lending has dropped to 67%.
Purchase activity is a different story: Purchases were up, rising 2% from the previous week. Total purchase applications are actually up 16% year over year, indicating homebuyers have yet to be put off by rising mortgage rates.
We've written frequently about expectations. If buyers expect lower prices, they'll frequently (but not always) wait for lower prices. We saw a lot of that behavior when mortgage rates were trending lower. Many borrowers, especially on the purchase end, would wait and wait and wait. (Refinancers were more willing to act, knowing if rates continued to drop they could refinance again.)
On the other side of the coin, people tend to be spurred into action by rising prices. They don't want to pay more tomorrow for what they can get cheaper today. We've seen that in the purchase market over the past month. Home prices have been rising steadily over the past 18 months, but now mortgage rates are rising too. More borrowers (and most lenders, for that matter) don't expect to see a return to the ultra-low rates of a couple months ago. Many believe the trend has shifted and rising rates are the new norm.
We think rising rates are the new norm too. We say that because credit markets are much more sensitive to the Federal Reserve and the prospect of it curtailing its mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchases.
When the Fed curtails (or even hints at curtailing) its purchases, interest rates will rise, which means today's bond investors will suffer losses. (When interest rates rise, the price of fixed-income investments like bonds fall.) Obviously, these investors don't want to suffer losses, so they'll sell if they think demand for bonds and fixed-income securities will fall.
Of course, we can't predict with certainty whether mortgage rates will move higher in the near future. After all, a significant macro event – a major terrorist attack, a large bankruptcy, a European bank run – could spur money to flow back into haven investments, like U.S. Treasuries and MBS.
That said, we see higher rates and more volatile rates as the likely scenario. For this reason, we continue to say that waiting is the real risk in this market.

Economic
Indicator
Release
Date and Time
Consensus
Estimate
Analysis
Construction Spending
(May)
Mon., July 1,
10:00 am, ET
0.8%
(Increase)
Important. Residential construction spending is driving overall spending growth.
Mortgage Applications
Wed., July 3,
7:00 am, ET
None
Important. Rising rates have spurred more buyers into action.
International Trade
(May)
Wed., July 3,
8:30 am, ET
$40.2 Billion (Deficit)
Moderately Important. The increase in non-energy imports points to an entrenched recovery.
Employment Situation
(June)
Fri., July 5,
8:30 am, ET
Unemployment Rate: 7.5%
Payrolls:165,000 (Increase)
Very Important. Interest rates will rise if payrolls increase more than anticipated.

Full Steam Ahead
Sales of new and existing home are gaining momentum: More supply is coming to market and prices continue to rise. On the latter, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows prices up 1.7% in its 20-city index month over month; the year-over-year rate is exceptionally strong, at plus 12%.
But will rising mortgage rates derail the recovery?
We don't think so. Many people have the perception that rising mortgage rates lead to lower (or at least less growth) in home prices. The rationale goes that rising mortgage rates lower affordability, so home prices fall to compensate for higher financing costs.
The perception was recently refuted in the New York Times. Douglas Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae was quoted to say, “There’s no strong correlation between interest rates and home prices.”
Mortgage rates rose sharply in the late 1970s, but home prices continued to rise too. In the 1990s, rates were relatively flat and home prices continued to move higher. In 2007 and 2008, both mortgages rates and home prices fell. In 2013, rates have increased and so, too, have home prices. In other words, there really isn't much of a correlation.
To be sure, mortgage rates matter, but they're less important than many people believe. Job and economic growth are by far the more important variables, and both have been improving in recent months.



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